For US Open fans, Jelena Ostapenko’s surprise title at the French Open piqued the following question: Can the 20-year-old rising star repeat the feat in Flushing Meadows? If we’re using the past as a guide, the answer is likely not. But if she does, she’ll join elite company.

In the Open era, only two players – Chris Evert in 1974 and Justine Henin in 2003 – have won their maiden Grand Slam tournament title at the French Open and then followed that up with a US Open championship the same year.

Overall, during that span, 15 women have won their first-ever major at Roland Garros, but most have failed to extend that run into the Flushing fortnight – a converted success rate of just 13 percent.

It has been a bigger struggle for the first-time champions in recent years. Of the seven women who won their first Slam in Paris in the past 20 years, only two – Henin and Italian veteran Francesca Schiavone, a 2010 US Open quarterfinalist – advanced to the second week in New York, with the other five exiting in the first or second rounds.

Aside from Evert and Henin, the first-time French Open winner who made the deepest run at the US Open was Steffi Graf, who lost the 1987 final to Martina Navratilova. Graf, of course, would rebound to claim all four major titles in 1988.

Here’s a closer look at how the first-timers have fared in New York:

French Open Champion – US Open Result (Year)

Garbiñe Muguruza – 2R (2016)
Li Na – 1R (2011)
Francesca Schiavone – QF (2010)
Ana Ivanovic – 2R (2008)
Anastasia Myskina – 2R (2004)
Justine Henin – W (2003)
Iva Majoli – 2R (1997)
Monica Seles – 3R (1990)
Arantxa Sanchez-Vicario – QF (1989)  
Steffi Graf – RU (1987)
Virginia Ruzici – QF (1978)
Mema Jausovec – QF (1977)
Sue Barker – 4R (1976)
Chris Evert – W (1974)
Evonne Goolagong – DNP (1971)